Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — MacInnis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs MacInnis 49.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 85.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Staal
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
MacInnis
Last 5: Staal 4-1 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
MacInnis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
1
Staal
MacInnis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
MacInnis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (780)
47.5% (59)
+9.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. MacInnis is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Staal
MacInnis
Home
57.6% (566)
40.7% (27)
Away
58.4% (517)
53.1% (32)
By Period
Staal
MacInnis
P1
55.6%
44.0%
P2
58.5%
47.4%
P3
60.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |