Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 55.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 55.1%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 55.2%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Staal
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Staal
Horcoff
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Staal
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Staal
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
3
Staal
Horcoff
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.6% (3,133)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
51.4% (555)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.0% (567)
+5.0%
On power play, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Staal
Horcoff
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Staal
Horcoff
P1
55.2%
48.2%
P2
55.9%
49.5%
P3
54.9%
50.9%
OT
56.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |