Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Gionta 41.2% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 97.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 95.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Staal
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Staal
Gionta
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
3
Staal
Gionta
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Gionta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
40.6% (1,902)
+15.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
61.5% (26)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
40.1% (292)
+7.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Staal
Gionta
Home
56.4% (9,663)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Staal
Gionta
P1
55.2%
40.8%
P2
55.9%
41.8%
P3
54.9%
39.8%
OT
56.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |