Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Weiss 53.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 80.2%
Defensive zone
Weiss 58.1%
Neutral zone
Weiss 67.5%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Staal
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
25
(44 meetings)
19
25
Staal
Weiss
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
3
8
Staal
Weiss
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
5
Staal
Weiss
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
10
12
Staal
Weiss
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
53.0% (2,521)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
54.6% (560)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
49.4% (245)
-1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Staal
Weiss
Home
56.4% (9,663)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Staal
Weiss
P1
55.2%
53.5%
P2
55.9%
54.2%
P3
54.9%
52.2%
OT
56.2%
44.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 9, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |