Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kero 46.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 67.0%
Defensive zone
Kero 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kero 65.2%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Staal
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Kero
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Staal
Kero
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Staal
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
47.0% (668)
+8.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
42.9% (7)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
31.9% (47)
+16.1%
On power play, Staal has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Staal
Kero
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.1% (332)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Staal
Kero
P1
55.2%
47.6%
P2
55.9%
48.8%
P3
54.9%
40.9%
OT
56.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |