Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Kero 45.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 53.5%
Defensive zone
Kero 68.7%
Neutral zone
Kero 68.1%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Staal
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Kero
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Staal
Kero
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
2
Staal
Kero
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
45.9% (434)
+13.2%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
50.0% (2)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
25.7% (35)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Staal shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Staal
Kero
Home
61.2% (600)
47.7% (214)
Away
56.9% (566)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Staal
Kero
P1
57.5%
44.4%
P2
60.1%
48.5%
P3
59.1%
39.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |