Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 61 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 84-67 in 151 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Staal
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
84
-
67
(151 meetings)
84
67
Staal
Plekanec
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
25
23
Staal
Plekanec
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
20
Staal
Plekanec
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
37
24
Staal
Plekanec
61 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
50.8% (8,558)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
51.3% (1,151)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
46.0% (1,924)
+2.0%
On power play, Staal has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Staal
Plekanec
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Staal
Plekanec
P1
55.2%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
48.9%
P3
54.9%
49.0%
OT
56.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |