Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Plekanec 49.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 66.7%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 69.1%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 67.5%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Staal
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Staal
Plekanec
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
3
7
Staal
Plekanec
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
4
Staal
Plekanec
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Plekanec
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
49.8% (1,199)
+6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
51.7% (240)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
47.2% (176)
+10.9%
On power play, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Plekanec is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Staal
Plekanec
Home
57.7% (735)
48.9% (807)
Away
57.9% (660)
50.6% (808)
By Period
Staal
Plekanec
P1
61.8%
52.2%
P2
55.7%
49.4%
P3
56.1%
47.4%
OT
56.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2016 | OT | 04:47 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | OT | 02:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |