Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Mitchell 51.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 68.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 81.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 75.9%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Staal
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Mitchell
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
3
Staal
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Staal
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
52.2% (590)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
77.8% (9)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
46.6% (118)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Staal shoots left. Mitchell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Staal
Mitchell
Home
57.7% (735)
53.1% (356)
Away
57.9% (660)
50.1% (361)
By Period
Staal
Mitchell
P1
61.8%
60.1%
P2
55.7%
48.3%
P3
56.1%
47.2%
OT
56.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |