Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Mitchell 54.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 86.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 51.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Staal
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Mitchell
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Staal
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
53.8% (595)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
66.7% (6)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
57.0% (151)
-4.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Mitchell is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Staal
Mitchell
Home
61.2% (600)
57.9% (375)
Away
56.9% (566)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Staal
Mitchell
P1
57.5%
57.9%
P2
60.1%
47.5%
P3
59.1%
58.8%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |