Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 77 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Zajac 54.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 111-93 in 204 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 54.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 53.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 55.0%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
93
-
111
(204 meetings)
93
111
Staal
Zajac
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
29
39
Staal
Zajac
68 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
32
27
Staal
Zajac
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
32
45
Staal
Zajac
77 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
54.4% (9,056)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
59.1% (1,498)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
48.6% (1,599)
-0.6%
On power play, Staal has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
56.4% (9,663)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
55.2%
53.8%
P2
55.9%
55.6%
P3
54.9%
53.6%
OT
56.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |