Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Zajac 55.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Staal
Zajac
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Staal
Zajac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
57.8% (161)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
55.0% (20)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
52.9% (17)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
54.9% (628)
59.1% (127)
Away
46.4% (530)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
50.3%
59.7%
P2
52.4%
56.7%
P3
50.4%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |