Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Zajac 50.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 18-6 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 89.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
6
(24 meetings)
18
6
Staal
Zajac
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
2
Staal
Zajac
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Zajac
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Zajac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
50.8% (775)
+5.1%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
61.5% (117)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
45.0% (202)
+5.6%
On power play, Staal has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
57.2% (684)
52.2% (536)
Away
56.0% (654)
49.6% (558)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
53.0%
53.6%
P2
58.2%
50.9%
P3
58.9%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |