Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Zajac 52.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 53.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 52.9%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Staal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Zajac
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Staal
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
53.9% (851)
+0.3%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
49.0% (49)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
48.9% (190)
+1.9%
On power play, Staal has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Staal
Zajac
Home
55.0% (593)
53.3% (533)
Away
54.0% (691)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Staal
Zajac
P1
54.3%
54.3%
P2
53.5%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
53.2%
OT
58.6%
14.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |