Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.7% vs Smith 51.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 66.6%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Staal
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Smith
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Staal
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Staal
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (769)
53.7% (449)
+2.9%
Power Play
60.2% (98)
80.0% (10)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
43.1% (102)
-15.3%
On power play, Smith has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Staal shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Staal
Smith
Home
57.8% (510)
55.0% (280)
Away
54.4% (375)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Staal
Smith
P1
55.1%
52.3%
P2
56.8%
52.1%
P3
57.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |