Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Ennis 46.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 55.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Staal
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Ennis
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Ennis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Ennis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
45.6% (285)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
50.0% (24)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
60.0% (5)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Staal shoots left. Ennis is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Staal
Ennis
Home
54.9% (628)
53.1% (175)
Away
46.4% (530)
36.9% (141)
By Period
Staal
Ennis
P1
50.3%
40.0%
P2
52.4%
50.5%
P3
50.4%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |