Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Ennis 40.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Staal
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Staal
Ennis
Last 7: Staal 6-1 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Ennis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Ennis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Ennis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
38.3% (553)
+17.0%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
40.9% (66)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Staal shoots left. Ennis is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Staal
Ennis
Home
54.7% (720)
39.5% (306)
Away
54.0% (757)
37.9% (319)
By Period
Staal
Ennis
P1
51.2%
35.9%
P2
57.4%
43.6%
P3
54.6%
37.4%
OT
52.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
59.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |