Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Wallmark 50.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 52.7%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 82.4%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 66.1%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Weal
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Weal
Wallmark
Last 7: Weal 2-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
3
Weal
Wallmark
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Weal
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
50.5% (1,852)
+1.3%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
56.3% (103)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.9% (216)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Wallmark is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Weal
Wallmark
Home
53.2% (455)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
52.3% (549)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Weal
Wallmark
P1
56.6%
51.4%
P2
50.7%
50.8%
P3
51.1%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |