Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Weal wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Wallmark 50.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 59.9%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 69.8%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 62.9%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Weal
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Weal
Wallmark
Last 7: Weal 2-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
3
Weal
Wallmark
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Weal
Wallmark
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
51.8% (956)
+3.6%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
44.1% (59)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.4% (114)
-30.7%
On penalty kill, Wallmark has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Weal shoots right. Wallmark is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Weal
Wallmark
Home
53.5% (269)
52.5% (579)
Away
57.3% (330)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Weal
Wallmark
P1
60.9%
54.4%
P2
56.3%
48.8%
P3
49.5%
50.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |