Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 83.8%
Defensive zone
Weal 51.4%
Neutral zone
Weal 70.1%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Weal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Weal
Bjugstad
Last 6: Weal 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
1
Weal
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
48.6% (6,634)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
55.2% (829)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.3% (614)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Weal shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Weal
Bjugstad
Home
53.2% (455)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
52.3% (549)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Weal
Bjugstad
P1
56.6%
49.0%
P2
50.7%
49.1%
P3
51.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |