Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Weal wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 84.9%
Defensive zone
Weal 84.9%
Neutral zone
Weal 90.9%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Weal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Weal
Bjugstad
Last 6: Weal 5-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
2
0
Weal
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
1
Weal
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
48.8% (467)
+6.6%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
53.4% (58)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
60.0% (5)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Weal shoots right. Bjugstad is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Weal
Bjugstad
Home
53.5% (269)
49.0% (261)
Away
57.3% (330)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Weal
Bjugstad
P1
60.9%
50.9%
P2
56.3%
50.5%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |