Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Nash 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 60.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 83.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 70.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Weal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Weal
Nash
Last 10: Weal 3-7 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
0
Weal
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Weal
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
3
5
Weal
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
48.7% (4,621)
+3.1%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
51.0% (249)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.9% (550)
-7.4%
On power play, Weal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Weal shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Weal
Nash
Home
53.2% (455)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
52.3% (549)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Weal
Nash
P1
56.6%
49.0%
P2
50.7%
47.9%
P3
51.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |