Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Weal wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Nash 46.2% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 53.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nash 61.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Weal
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Weal
Nash
Last 9: Weal 3-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
0
Weal
Nash
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
3
Weal
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Weal
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
46.1% (306)
+9.3%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
16.7% (6)
+47.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
38.1% (21)
-21.4%
On power play, Weal has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Weal is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Weal shoots right. Nash is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Weal
Nash
Home
53.5% (269)
46.5% (157)
Away
57.3% (330)
43.8% (176)
By Period
Weal
Nash
P1
60.9%
47.7%
P2
56.3%
39.8%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |