Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.6%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 72.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.0%
Neutral zone
Weal 60.6%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Weal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Weal
Couturier
Last 7: Weal 1-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Weal
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Weal
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Weal
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
52.5% (11,063)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
59.7% (1,280)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
48.5% (1,816)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Weal
Couturier
Home
53.2% (455)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
52.3% (549)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Weal
Couturier
P1
56.6%
52.5%
P2
50.7%
52.6%
P3
51.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |