Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Aho 51.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Weal 55.5%
Neutral zone
Weal 54.0%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Weal
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Weal
Aho
Last 9: Weal 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Weal
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
4
0
Weal
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
1
Weal
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
50.1% (6,415)
+1.7%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
59.1% (1,297)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
46.0% (446)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Weal
Aho
Home
53.2% (455)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
52.3% (549)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Weal
Aho
P1
56.6%
51.2%
P2
50.7%
52.1%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |