Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Weal wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Aho 48.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 73.8%
Defensive zone
Weal 90.7%
Neutral zone
Weal 90.8%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Weal
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Weal
Aho
Last 9: Weal 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Weal
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weal
4
0
Weal
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
1
Weal
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
47.4% (953)
+8.0%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
58.0% (174)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
41.6% (77)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Weal shoots right. Aho is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Weal
Aho
Home
53.5% (269)
50.2% (609)
Away
57.3% (330)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Weal
Aho
P1
60.9%
48.7%
P2
56.3%
50.2%
P3
49.5%
47.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |