Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 62.9%
Defensive zone
Weal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Weal 73.0%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Weal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Weal
Crosby
Last 5: Weal 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Weal
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Weal
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.0%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
57.4% (4,733)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
47.1% (765)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Weal shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Weal
Crosby
Home
53.2% (455)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
52.3% (549)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Weal
Crosby
P1
56.6%
53.6%
P2
50.7%
53.9%
P3
51.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |