Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 52.4% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Weal
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Weal
Stamkos
Last 6: Weal 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Weal
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Weal
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (867)
50.4% (9,799)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.7% (129)
55.1% (1,725)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
49.7% (825)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Weal is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Weal shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Weal
Stamkos
Home
53.2% (455)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.3% (549)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Weal
Stamkos
P1
56.6%
49.1%
P2
50.7%
52.7%
P3
51.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |