Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Weal wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Weal 54.8% vs Sobotka 51.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 85.4%
Defensive zone
Weal 50.6%
Neutral zone
Weal 71.7%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Weal
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Weal
Sobotka
Last 7: Weal 5-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
0
Weal
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Weal
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
3
1
Weal
Sobotka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Weal
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (551)
52.9% (522)
+2.5%
Power Play
64.3% (42)
46.7% (15)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
46.1% (76)
-29.4%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Weal shoots right. Sobotka is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Weal
Sobotka
Home
53.5% (269)
53.8% (314)
Away
57.3% (330)
49.8% (299)
By Period
Weal
Sobotka
P1
60.9%
52.2%
P2
56.3%
52.2%
P3
49.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Jordan Weal |