Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Erne 52.9%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 53.3%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Erne
Lehtera
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
50.4% (2,714)
+2.7%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
55.8% (339)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
41.3% (104)
+12.5%
On power play, Lehtera has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Erne
Lehtera
Home
57.8% (109)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
45.5% (99)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Erne
Lehtera
P1
59.0%
53.2%
P2
48.6%
50.6%
P3
45.3%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%