Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Shaw wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Lehtera 50.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 67.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 57.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 52.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Shaw
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Shaw
Lehtera
Last 5: Shaw 3-2 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Lehtera
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
2
Shaw
Lehtera
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
48.9% (843)
-2.9%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
64.6% (96)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
36.7% (30)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Shaw is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Shaw
Lehtera
Home
49.4% (160)
51.7% (520)
Away
43.5% (154)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Shaw
Lehtera
P1
46.2%
52.8%
P2
45.9%
54.0%
P3
47.3%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |