Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vermette wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.4% vs Lehtera 50.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 82.5%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 86.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 84.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Vermette
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Vermette
Lehtera
Last 10: Vermette 1-9 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
3
Vermette
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Vermette
Lehtera
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Vermette
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,001)
48.9% (843)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.9% (256)
64.6% (96)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (94)
36.7% (30)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Vermette is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Vermette shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Vermette
Lehtera
Home
55.9% (690)
51.7% (520)
Away
55.7% (661)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Vermette
Lehtera
P1
51.8%
52.8%
P2
55.0%
54.0%
P3
60.3%
43.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.8%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |