Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suomela wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 46.2% vs Lehtera 52.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 70.0%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 51.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Suomela
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Suomela
Lehtera
Last 6: Suomela 3-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
2
0
Suomela
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
3
Suomela
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (224)
54.7% (117)
-9.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.9% (27)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Suomela is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Suomela shoots left. Lehtera is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Suomela
Lehtera
Home
50.0% (102)
63.6% (66)
Away
40.2% (127)
46.3% (80)
By Period
Suomela
Lehtera
P1
49.3%
48.1%
P2
37.9%
56.5%
P3
47.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
38.0%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
44.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |