Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Lehtera 49.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 76.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 62.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Horvat
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Lehtera
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Horvat
Lehtera
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Horvat
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
50.0% (728)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
50.0% (82)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
18.2% (22)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lehtera
Home
52.0% (767)
50.6% (443)
Away
48.8% (731)
47.6% (389)
By Period
Horvat
Lehtera
P1
47.1%
52.6%
P2
49.4%
48.6%
P3
54.3%
46.3%
OT
57.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |