Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Sutter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Lehtera 50.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 70.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 54.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Sutter
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sutter
Lehtera
Last 5: Sutter 2-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Lehtera
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Sutter
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
48.9% (843)
+5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
36.7% (30)
+12.3%
On power play, Lehtera has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Sutter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Sutter shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Sutter
Lehtera
Home
57.3% (164)
51.7% (520)
Away
45.6% (114)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Sutter
Lehtera
P1
49.4%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
54.0%
P3
54.3%
43.0%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |