Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Lehtera 49.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 62.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Schenn
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
Lehtera
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Lehtera
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
50.0% (728)
-3.5%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
50.0% (82)
+6.0%
On power play, Schenn has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Schenn is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Schenn shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Schenn
Lehtera
Home
49.6% (236)
50.6% (443)
Away
44.6% (258)
47.6% (389)
By Period
Schenn
Lehtera
P1
48.0%
52.6%
P2
48.1%
48.6%
P3
42.2%
46.3%
OT
81.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |