Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Lehtera 50.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 85.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 50.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 53.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
Last 9: Jarnkrok 7-2 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
0
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
48.9% (843)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
64.6% (96)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
36.7% (30)
-3.0%
On power play, Lehtera has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
Home
49.5% (396)
51.7% (520)
Away
42.2% (403)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Lehtera
P1
41.6%
52.8%
P2
42.8%
54.0%
P3
52.5%
43.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |