Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 46.2% vs Lehtera 50.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 50.4%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 60.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Coyle
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Coyle
Lehtera
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Lehtera
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (426)
48.9% (843)
-2.9%
Power Play
39.1% (46)
64.6% (96)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
36.7% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, Lehtera has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Coyle is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (317).
Coyle shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lehtera
Home
45.8% (251)
51.7% (520)
Away
45.0% (251)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Coyle
Lehtera
P1
49.7%
52.8%
P2
46.9%
54.0%
P3
39.8%
43.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.4%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |