Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 52.7% vs Lehtera 51.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 59.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 68.5%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 62.3%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Desharnais
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Desharnais
Lehtera
Last 7: Desharnais 2-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Desharnais
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
3
Desharnais
Lehtera
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (994)
50.6% (884)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.5% (187)
53.5% (155)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
59.1% (22)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Desharnais is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Desharnais shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Lehtera
Home
53.8% (610)
55.6% (549)
Away
52.0% (579)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Desharnais
Lehtera
P1
49.7%
53.8%
P2
57.7%
48.9%
P3
49.9%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |