Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Lehtera 50.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 51.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Brassard
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brassard
Lehtera
Last 6: Brassard 1-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
3
Brassard
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Brassard
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Lehtera
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
48.9% (843)
+0.0%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
64.6% (96)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
36.7% (30)
+6.2%
On power play, Lehtera has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Brassard
Lehtera
Home
50.9% (666)
51.7% (520)
Away
49.6% (680)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Brassard
Lehtera
P1
53.3%
52.8%
P2
47.5%
54.0%
P3
49.9%
43.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |