Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Lehtera 51.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Carter
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Lehtera
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Lehtera
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
50.6% (884)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
53.5% (155)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
59.1% (22)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Lehtera is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Carter
Lehtera
Home
55.1% (554)
55.6% (549)
Away
50.4% (639)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Carter
Lehtera
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
52.1%
48.9%
P3
54.8%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |