Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Lehtera wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Brown 44.9% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 68.5%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 59.3%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 63.6%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Lehtera
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lehtera
Brown
Last 5: Lehtera 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Lehtera
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
30.6% (36)
+19.4%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
0.0% (1)
+18.2%
On power play, Brown has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Lehtera is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Lehtera shoots left. Brown is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Brown
Home
50.6% (443)
30.8% (26)
Away
47.6% (389)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Lehtera
Brown
P1
52.6%
30.8%
P2
48.6%
35.7%
P3
46.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
31.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | JT Brown |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | JT Brown |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |