Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Hayes 47.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Lehtera
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lehtera
Hayes
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
1
Lehtera
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Lehtera
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lehtera
Hayes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
47.5% (6,708)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
51.7% (702)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
45.3% (697)
-4.0%
On power play, Lehtera has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Hayes
Home
53.7% (1,668)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Lehtera
Hayes
P1
53.2%
47.5%
P2
50.6%
47.6%
P3
48.1%
47.9%
OT
54.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |