Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 25-21 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 71.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.2%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 56.3%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lehtera
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
21
(46 meetings)
25
21
Lehtera
Couture
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
7
2
Lehtera
Couture
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
4
11
Lehtera
Couture
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
14
8
Lehtera
Couture
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
48.8% (8,919)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
54.6% (624)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
39.8% (992)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Couture
Home
53.7% (1,668)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Lehtera
Couture
P1
53.2%
47.9%
P2
50.6%
47.9%
P3
48.1%
49.2%
OT
54.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Logan Couture |