Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Couture 40.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 50.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 81.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 65.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lehtera
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lehtera
Couture
Last 9: Lehtera 3-6 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lehtera
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Lehtera
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Lehtera
Couture
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
39.9% (690)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
33.3% (54)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Lehtera shoots left. Couture is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Couture
Home
50.6% (443)
41.3% (368)
Away
47.6% (389)
37.7% (385)
By Period
Lehtera
Couture
P1
52.6%
40.1%
P2
48.6%
38.4%
P3
46.3%
40.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |