Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.9%). Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 50.1%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 52.8%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 51.1%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lehtera
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lehtera
Arcobello
Last 5: Lehtera 3-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
2
Lehtera
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
50.6% (1,408)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
60.8% (130)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
36.8% (57)
+4.5%
On power play, Arcobello has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Arcobello
Home
53.7% (1,668)
53.2% (745)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Lehtera
Arcobello
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
51.3%
P3
48.1%
48.4%
OT
54.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |