Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 85.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 61.1%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 63.0%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Lehtera
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lehtera
Hendricks
Last 10: Lehtera 4-6 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lehtera
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Lehtera
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
3
Lehtera
Hendricks
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
55.0% (1,616)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
52.6% (38)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
48.4% (446)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Lehtera shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Hendricks
Home
53.7% (1,668)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Lehtera
Hendricks
P1
53.2%
53.2%
P2
50.6%
53.3%
P3
48.1%
53.6%
OT
54.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |