Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 49.2% vs Hendricks 54.8% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 63.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 85.8%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 54.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lehtera
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lehtera
Hendricks
Last 7: Lehtera 4-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lehtera
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
1
Lehtera
Hendricks
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (728)
60.9% (184)
-10.9%
Power Play
50.0% (82)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
40.4% (47)
-22.2%
On power play, Hendricks has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Lehtera is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Lehtera shoots left. Hendricks is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Hendricks
Home
50.6% (443)
62.3% (114)
Away
47.6% (389)
51.7% (118)
By Period
Lehtera
Hendricks
P1
52.6%
51.3%
P2
48.6%
63.0%
P3
46.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
49.2%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |