Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.3%). Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 51.1% vs Stajan 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 84.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 76.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 54.2%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Lehtera
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lehtera
Stajan
Last 7: Lehtera 5-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
0
Lehtera
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Lehtera
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
0
Lehtera
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (884)
51.1% (503)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (155)
42.9% (7)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
46.7% (92)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Lehtera shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Stajan
Home
55.6% (549)
55.1% (336)
Away
46.5% (512)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Lehtera
Stajan
P1
53.8%
51.3%
P2
48.9%
47.7%
P3
50.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |