Jori Lehtera vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.0% vs Grigorenko 44.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 86.1%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 64.7%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 74.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Lehtera
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Lehtera
Grigorenko
Last 9: Lehtera 8-1 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
0
Lehtera
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
0
Lehtera
Grigorenko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
1
Lehtera
Grigorenko
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (843)
43.4% (311)
+5.5%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
50.0% (8)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
40.0% (30)
-3.3%
On power play, Lehtera has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Lehtera is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Lehtera shoots left. Grigorenko is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Lehtera
Grigorenko
Home
51.7% (520)
44.8% (172)
Away
48.1% (449)
41.8% (177)
By Period
Lehtera
Grigorenko
P1
52.8%
36.6%
P2
54.0%
51.8%
P3
43.0%
42.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |